| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.2% | 56% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.3% | 83% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.9% | 74% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 59% | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.2% | 23.4% | 20.4% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 27.4% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 27.4% | 22.1% |
| Girona | Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Espanyol Barcelona B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Osasuna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Castellon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Castellon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 18 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 18 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 18 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 18 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 18 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |