| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.8% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.1% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.2% | 28.1% | 32.7% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 33.1% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 28.4% | 29.4% |
| Monza | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1675 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1675 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Lazio | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Lazio | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Lecce | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Monza | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Juventus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Juventus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Udinese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | Monza |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Cagliari | 3 - 0 | Monza |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Monza | 1 - 2 | Cagliari |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Monza | 1 - 0 | Cagliari |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | Monza |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||