| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 68% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.6% | 69.3% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Leo Raquillet | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Michael Geerts | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |