| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.0% | 62% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 61.3% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Giovanni Oradini | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Marco Furlanetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Giuseppe La Vela | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Giuseppe La Vela | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Kody Pearson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |