| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.6% | 67% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.5% | 60.4% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Matteo Martineau | Hugo Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1683 | 1689 |
| Surface Elo | 1683 | 1689 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Vit Kopriva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |