| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 81.7% | 81% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.3% | 23.6% |
| logistic | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Gabriel Debru | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1498 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1498 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alex Rybakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Nino Ehrenschneider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Perego, Giulio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Fnu Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Roan Jones | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |