OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Augsburg 1.00 1 - 1 0.80 Union Berlin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.9%52%-2.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.8%78%-1.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 64.8%69%-4.0%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.6%67%-5.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.1%25.5%25.4%
xgboost49.7%22.7%27.5%
logistic45.7%27.4%27.0%
Inputs the models saw
AugsburgUnion Berlin
Elo (pre-match)16161555
Surface Elo16161555
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.80
Form trend0.60-0.50
Season points per game0.502.00
Season goals for / game2.500.50
Season goals against / game3.000.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Augsburg: last 5
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
10 OctHBayern München2 - 2D
10 OctHBayern München2 - 2D
02 OctHHertha Berlin2 - 2D
Union Berlin: last 5
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund0 - 0D
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund0 - 0D
10 OctHElversberg1 - 0W
10 OctHElversberg1 - 0W
18 SepABayern München0 - 7L
Head to head
16 May 2026Union Berlin4 - 0Augsburg
15 Jan 2026Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
17 May 2025Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin
15 Jan 2025Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
12 Apr 2024Augsburg2 - 0Union Berlin
25 Nov 2023Union Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
06 May 2023Augsburg1 - 0Union Berlin
09 Nov 2022Union Berlin2 - 2Augsburg
05 Feb 2022Augsburg2 - 0Union Berlin
11 Sep 2021Union Berlin0 - 0Augsburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.9125.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1124.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9252.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5066.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:31 UTC