| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 58% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.6% | 79% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.3% | 77% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 58% | +3.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.1% | 25.4% | 48.5% |
| xgboost | 20.8% | 17.1% | 62.1% |
| logistic | 20.6% | 24.9% | 54.5% |
| Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1732 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1732 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 5 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 5 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | 12 Bingol Spor | 4 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Freiburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Rizespor | 4 - 3 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Rizespor | 4 - 3 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Alanyaspor | 1 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 1 | Alanyaspor |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Trabzonspor | 4 - 3 | Alanyaspor |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Alanyaspor | 2 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Alanyaspor | 3 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 0 | Alanyaspor |
| 03 Jun 2023 | Trabzonspor | 5 - 1 | Alanyaspor |
| 09 Jan 2023 | Alanyaspor | 5 - 0 | Trabzonspor |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Alanyaspor | 0 - 4 | Trabzonspor |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 1 | Alanyaspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.93 | 25.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.70 | 21.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |