| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.5% | 53% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 78% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.5% | 71% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 61% | +2.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.2% | 28.3% | 33.5% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 21.4% | 49.3% |
| logistic | 23.0% | 26.3% | 50.7% |
| Antwerp | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1503 | 1636 |
| Surface Elo | 1503 | 1636 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 12 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | KSK Heist | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Westerlo | 1 - 5 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Westerlo | 1 - 5 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | St. Gilloise | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Union Gilloise | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | RWDM Brussels | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Union Saint-Gilloise B | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | R AEC Mons | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Standard | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Standard | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Antwerp | 0 - 1 | Charleroi |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Charleroi | 2 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Antwerp | 0 - 2 | Charleroi |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Charleroi | 1 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Antwerp | 1 - 3 | Charleroi |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Antwerp | 4 - 1 | Charleroi |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Charleroi | 3 - 2 | Antwerp |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Antwerp | 0 - 1 | Charleroi |
| 30 Oct 2022 | Charleroi | 1 - 0 | Antwerp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.03 | 24.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |