| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.4% | 71% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.9% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Jerome Kym | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1886 | 1698 |
| Surface Elo | 1886 | 1698 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Matej Dodig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | Jurij Rodionov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |