| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 55% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.9% | 39.0% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Iva Jovic | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1809 | 1801 |
| Surface Elo | 1809 | 1801 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Yulia Putintseva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Iva Jovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | Iva Jovic |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Iva Jovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |