OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Elgin 2.00 0 - 2 1.40 Dumbarton
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.1%60%-3.7%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 79.9%86%-5.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 73.2%78%-5.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.4%63%-3.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.1%24.6%24.3%
xgboost59.9%21.2%18.9%
logistic57.6%24.6%17.8%
Inputs the models saw
ElginDumbarton
Elo (pre-match)14051315
Surface Elo14051315
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.40
Form trend-0.400.80
Season points per game1.751.08
Season goals for / game2.331.08
Season goals against / game1.421.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Elgin: last 5
03 NovAAirdrieonians FC0 - 5L
31 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 0W
31 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 0W
24 OctAUniversity of Stirling2 - 1W
17 OctHEdinburgh City0 - 0D
Dumbarton: last 5
31 OctAEdinburgh City1 - 2L
31 OctAEdinburgh City1 - 2L
17 OctHStirling1 - 1D
17 OctHStirling1 - 1D
13 OctAClydebank FC0 - 4L
Head to head
05 Sep 2026Dumbarton2 - 1Elgin
14 Mar 2026Elgin1 - 1Dumbarton
24 Jan 2026Dumbarton2 - 2Elgin
15 Nov 2025Elgin2 - 0Dumbarton
16 Aug 2025Dumbarton1 - 1Elgin
27 Apr 2024Dumbarton2 - 2Elgin
27 Jan 2024Elgin0 - 1Dumbarton
18 Nov 2023Dumbarton1 - 0Elgin
16 Sep 2023Elgin2 - 0Dumbarton
29 Apr 2023Elgin1 - 0Dumbarton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.2023.8%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.6560.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away4.1024.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6959.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5962.9%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC