| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.9% | 50% | +9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.6% | 40.3% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1429 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1429 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Trione, Riccardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | George Lazarov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | Rares Andrei Golescu | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |