OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Eastleigh 0.80 4 - 2 0.80 Boston Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.4%46%+0.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.0%80%-3.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 58.1%62%-3.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.7%61%-5.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.6%25.5%33.9%
xgboost45.2%23.0%31.8%
logistic42.1%26.5%31.4%
Inputs the models saw
EastleighBoston Utd
Elo (pre-match)13821412
Surface Elo13821412
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game1.150.92
Season goals for / game1.081.15
Season goals against / game1.541.77
Rest days1313
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W0 W · 1 D
Eastleigh: last 5
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
03 OctHWoking1 - 3L
03 OctHWoking1 - 3L
30 SepHSouthend1 - 1D
Boston Utd: last 5
17 OctHScunthorpe1 - 3L
13 OctHSouthampton5 - 6L
10 OctHSouthend1 - 2L
10 OctHSouthend1 - 2L
03 OctAYeovil0 - 6L
Head to head
03 Jan 2026Boston Utd1 - 2Eastleigh
23 Aug 2025Eastleigh2 - 0Boston Utd
22 Feb 2025Boston Utd1 - 2Eastleigh
26 Oct 2024Eastleigh1 - 1Boston Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%24 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.3043.5%24 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%24 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%24 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.9533.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6461.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC