| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 57% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.7% | 86% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.1% | 78% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 54% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.4% | 24.8% | 15.8% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 32.7% | 24.0% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 28.5% | 21.8% |
| Juve Stabia | Arezzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1451 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1451 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Empoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Empoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Verona | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Verona | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Carrarese | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carrarese | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Benevento | 0 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.75 | 17.4% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |