OgaOods

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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-05

NFL · Monday 05 October 2026, 00:20 UTC · finished

Carolina Panthers – 32 - 26 – Detroit Lions

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	55.2%	66%	-11.1%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	44.8%	55.2%

Inputs the models saw

	Carolina Panthers	Detroit Lions
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.26
form diff	-0.25
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.05
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-04T00:20:00+00:00

Carolina Panthers: last 5

27 Sep	A	Cleveland Browns	18 - 21	L
20 Sep	A	Atlanta Falcons	34 - 3	W
13 Sep	H	Chicago Bears	37 - 59	L
10 Jan	H	Los Angeles Rams	31 - 34	L
03 Jan	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14 - 16	L

Detroit Lions: last 5

27 Sep	H	New York Jets	31 - 24	W
18 Sep	A	Buffalo Bills	31 - 41	L
13 Sep	H	New Orleans Saints	31 - 30	W
04 Jan	A	Chicago Bears	19 - 16	W
25 Dec	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 23	L

Head to head

08 Oct 2023	Detroit Lions	42 - 24	Carolina Panthers
24 Dec 2022	Carolina Panthers	37 - 23	Detroit Lions
22 Nov 2020	Carolina Panthers	20 - 0	Detroit Lions
18 Nov 2018	Detroit Lions	20 - 19	Carolina Panthers
08 Oct 2017	Detroit Lions	24 - 27	Carolina Panthers
14 Sep 2014	Carolina Panthers	24 - 7	Detroit Lions
20 Nov 2011	Detroit Lions	49 - 35	Carolina Panthers
16 Nov 2008	Carolina Panthers	31 - 22	Detroit Lions
16 Oct 2005	Detroit Lions	20 - 21	Carolina Panthers
21 Dec 2003	Carolina Panthers	20 - 14	Detroit Lions

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.76	36.2%	04 Oct 22:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.51	66.2%	04 Oct 22:20

Generated 2026-10-30 20:31 UTC