| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.4% | 86% | -12.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| logistic | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Sho Shimabukuro | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1579 | 1888 |
| Surface Elo | 1579 | 1888 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 13 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Ilia Simakin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Ilya Ivashka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Roman Safiullin | 1 - 2 | Sho Shimabukuro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.15 | 87.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.75 | 17.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |