OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Celtic 2.00 1 - 0 0.80 Kilmarnock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 82.8%87%-4.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 93.7%99%-5.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 93.1%98%-4.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.2%78%-15.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson84.2%10.2%5.6%
xgboost84.4%10.4%5.2%
logistic84.4%11.6%4.0%
Inputs the models saw
CelticKilmarnock
Elo (pre-match)18931585
Surface Elo18931585
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.80
Form trend0.800.10
Season points per game2.330.75
Season goals for / game2.251.08
Season goals against / game0.832.33
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)8 W1 W · 1 D
Celtic: last 5
05 NovHBesiktas3 - 2W
03 NovARoss County0 - 2L
01 NovAFalkirk0 - 2L
01 NovAFalkirk0 - 2L
28 OctHDundee United2 - 2D
Kilmarnock: last 5
31 OctHSt Johnstone2 - 2D
31 OctHSt Johnstone2 - 2D
28 OctADundee1 - 3L
28 OctADundee1 - 3L
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
Head to head
09 Aug 2026Kilmarnock1 - 5Celtic
15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock2 - 3Celtic
09 Nov 2025Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
14 Sep 2025Kilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
12 Apr 2025Celtic5 - 1Kilmarnock
10 Nov 2024Kilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
04 Aug 2024Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
15 May 2024Kilmarnock0 - 5Celtic
17 Feb 2024Celtic1 - 1Kilmarnock
10 Dec 2023Kilmarnock2 - 1Celtic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away15.006.7%08 Nov 16:00
Bet3651X2draw9.5010.5%08 Nov 16:00
Bet3651X2home1.1090.9%08 Nov 16:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.2282.0%08 Nov 16:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under4.3323.1%08 Nov 16:00
SportyBet1X2away14.087.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw8.7611.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.1785.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.2679.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.9025.6%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC