OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England League One · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Burton 1.60 1 - 3 1.60 Huddersfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.5%52%-7.9%✓ hit
DCHome or away 71.4%78%-6.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 59.2%70%-11.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 50.4%55%-4.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.9%27.2%38.9%
xgboost32.9%34.6%32.5%
logistic30.4%29.0%40.6%
Inputs the models saw
BurtonHuddersfield
Elo (pre-match)14961537
Surface Elo14961537
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.60
Form trend0.000.80
Season points per game2.000.00
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days714
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W0 W · 2 D
Burton: last 5
26 SepAPlymouth1 - 0W
26 SepAPlymouth1 - 0W
22 SepHNottingham Forest1 - 1D
19 SepHMansfield2 - 2D
19 SepHMansfield2 - 2D
Huddersfield: last 5
19 SepABromley1 - 2L
19 SepABromley1 - 2L
12 SepAMansfield0 - 0D
05 SepHNotts County1 - 1D
01 SepHOxford3 - 1W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Burton3 - 1Huddersfield
20 Sep 2025Huddersfield0 - 0Burton
12 Apr 2025Burton3 - 0Huddersfield
29 Dec 2024Huddersfield1 - 1Burton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.9152.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.9025.6%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9651.0%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC