OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
🇮🇹 Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Genoa 1.40 2 - 0 1.40 Juventus
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.1%58%-1.6%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 81.7%86%-3.8%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 74.5%79%-4.3%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.4%60%-6.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 51.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson21.2%27.0%51.7%
xgboost21.9%20.8%57.2%
logistic14.4%24.1%61.6%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaJuventus
Elo (pre-match)15911772
Surface Elo15911772
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend-0.40-0.30
Season points per game0.881.75
Season goals for / game0.751.38
Season goals against / game1.631.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Genoa: last 5
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
Juventus: last 5
25 OctALecce2 - 0W
25 OctALecce2 - 0W
22 OctHRennes2 - 2D
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Juventus2 - 0Genoa
31 Aug 2025Genoa0 - 1Juventus
29 Mar 2025Juventus1 - 0Genoa
28 Sep 2024Genoa0 - 3Juventus
17 Mar 2024Juventus0 - 0Genoa
15 Dec 2023Genoa1 - 1Juventus
06 May 2022Genoa2 - 1Juventus
05 Dec 2021Juventus2 - 0Genoa
11 Apr 2021Juventus3 - 1Genoa
13 Dec 2020Genoa1 - 3Juventus
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6759.9%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home5.7517.4%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.3842.0%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.5763.7%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away1.8055.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.3818.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.3542.5%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6361.4%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC