| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.8% | 42% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 75% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.1% | 57% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 60% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.6% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 22.4% | 36.7% |
| logistic | 34.4% | 28.9% | 36.7% |
| Nice | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1714 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1714 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 20 Sep | H | Lille | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Auxerre | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Le Mans | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Paris FC | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Lorient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Paris FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Monaco | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Troyes | 6 - 2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Lens | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Marseille | 0 - 4 | L |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Strasbourg | 3 - 1 | Nice |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Nice | 1 - 1 | Strasbourg |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 - 2 | Nice |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Strasbourg |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Strasbourg | 1 - 3 | Nice |
| 03 Sep 2023 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Strasbourg |
| 13 May 2023 | Strasbourg | 2 - 0 | Nice |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Nice | 1 - 1 | Strasbourg |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Strasbourg | 0 - 0 | Nice |
| 05 Dec 2021 | Nice | 0 - 3 | Strasbourg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.97 | 33.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |