| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.7% | 60% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 61.9% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Vladyslav Orlov | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1354 | 1446 |
| Surface Elo | 1354 | 1446 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Capitanio, Umberto Giuseppe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Matthew Asciak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Johan Nikles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Guilherme Valdoleiros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Petros Tsitsipas | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alexandre Aubriot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Matteo Gribaldo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |