| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.2% | 63% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Remy Bertola | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1578 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1578 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Lucas Poullain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Alex Molcan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Federico Cina | 1 - 2 | Remy Bertola |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |