| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.2% | 54% | -8.9% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 83% | -7.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.2% | 72% | -14.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 45% | +10.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.0% | 27.6% | 33.4% |
| xgboost | 45.0% | 29.2% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 23.6% | 35.7% |
| Lecco | Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1313 | 1366 |
| Surface Elo | 1313 | 1366 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 903 | 175 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 25 Oct | H | US Folgore Caratese | 2 - 2 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Pro Vercelli | 5 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Alcione Milano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Venezia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Brescia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | US Grosseto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Modena | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Pro Vercelli | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | SEF Torres Sassari | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Vicenza | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Lecco | 1 - 0 | Reggiana |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Reggiana | 1 - 1 | Lecco |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |