OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-22
🎾 WTA 125K Tolentino, Italy Women Singles · Tuesday 22 September 2026, 09:40 UTC · finished
Nuria Brancaccio 0.00 2 - 1 0.60 Maria Lourdes Carle
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win selected61.2%44%+16.7%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov50.4%49.6%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost22.7%77.3%
logistic48.6%51.4%
Inputs the models saw
Nuria BrancaccioMaria Lourdes Carle
Elo (pre-match)14121417
Surface Elo14121417
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.000.60
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.500.00
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days1406
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Nuria Brancaccio: last 5
05 MayHTaylor Townsend0 - 2L
05 MayHPeyton Stearns0 - 2L
14 AprAMoyuka Uchijima1 - 2L
22 JulAJaqueline Cristian0 - 2L
20 MayHXiyu Wang0 - 2L
Maria Lourdes Carle: last 5
15 SepHEkaterine Gorgodze1 - 2L
20 JulAAnhelina Kalinina0 - 2L
20 JulAJule Niemeier2 - 0W
30 MarAEmiliana Arango1 - 2L
14 JulHSorana Cirstea0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6062.5%22 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC