| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.2% | 63% | +3.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 19.4% | 80.6% |
| logistic | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alexander Bublik | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1916 | 1935 |
| Surface Elo | 1916 | 1935 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 27 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | Tommy Paul | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Adrian Mannarino | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | J.J. Wolf | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Quentin Halys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Sep | H | Jurij Rodionov | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Shintaro Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Alexander Bublik | 0 - 2 | Jakub Mensik |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Alexander Bublik | 0 - 2 | Jakub Mensik |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Alexander Bublik | 0 - 2 | Jakub Mensik |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Alexander Bublik | 3 - 2 | Jakub Mensik |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.53 | 65.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.68 | 37.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alexander Bublik | 2.70 | 37.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Jakub Mensik | 1.59 | 62.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.59 | 38.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.55 | 64.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.40 | 41.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.55 | 64.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.49 | 40.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.43 | 41.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.55 | 64.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.68 | 37.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alexander Bublik | 2.70 | 37.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Jakub Mensik | 1.59 | 62.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.40 | 41.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.55 | 64.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.56 | 39.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.28 | 43.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.51 | 66.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.52 | 65.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.53 | 65.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alexander Bublik | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |