| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.3% | 86% | -19.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| logistic | 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Hynek Barton | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1587 | 1746 |
| Surface Elo | 1587 | 1746 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Petr Nesterov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Stefan Latinovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Hynek Barton | 2 - 0 | Toby Samuel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.80 | 20.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |