| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.1% | 51% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Michael Geerts | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Joao Domingues | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Pierre Delage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Jakub Paul | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Niels Visker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Cado, Zaccharie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |