| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | 51% | +10.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alicia Dudeney | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1393 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1393 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Dada-Mascoll, Savannah | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Susan Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Leonard, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Lois Newberry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Rebecca Sramkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Lucia Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | de Stefano, Samira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Basiletti, Noemi | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |