| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.0% | 45% | +20.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 88.5% | 80% | +8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 77.9% | 59% | +19.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 77% | -10.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.2% | 23.1% | 49.7% |
| xgboost | 31.4% | 17.1% | 51.4% |
| logistic | 25.6% | 22.9% | 51.5% |
| Twente | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1673 | 1863 |
| Surface Elo | 1673 | 1863 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.17 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 8 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | H | Den Haag | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | Telstar | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Groningen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Cambuur | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Zwolle | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Vitesse | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Ajax | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Utrecht | 6 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Groningen | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 - 1 | Twente |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Twente | 0 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Twente | 1 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 06 Dec 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 - 1 | Twente |
| 17 Mar 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 0 | Twente |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Twente | 0 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 26 Feb 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 1 | Twente |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Twente | 2 - 1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Twente | 3 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 30 Oct 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 - 2 | Twente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Sep 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 20 Sep 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.88 | 34.7% | 20 Sep 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Sep 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Sep 13:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.28 | 43.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.21 | 23.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.82 | 35.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.30 | 76.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.70 | 27.0% | 20 Sep 06:15 |