OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-11-06
🏒 NHL · Friday 06 November 2026, 00:00 UTC · finished
Montréal Canadiens 0.80 5 - 4 0.60 Utah Utah Hockey Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.5%54%+1.4%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson46.5%37.8%
xgboost30.0%68.7%
logistic60.7%39.3%
Inputs the models saw
Montréal CanadiensUtah Utah Hockey Club
Elo (pre-match)15981534
Surface Elo15981534
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.60
Form trend0.200.00
Season points per game0.600.63
Season goals for / game3.473.56
Season goals against / game3.133.38
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 0 D
Montréal Canadiens: last 5
04 NovHWinnipeg Jets4 - 5L
31 OctHPittsburgh Penguins5 - 4W
30 OctADallas Stars5 - 2W
28 OctASt. Louis Blues2 - 0W
25 OctAWinnipeg Jets2 - 1W
Utah Utah Hockey Club: last 5
04 NovAToronto Maple Leafs3 - 2W
01 NovAPhiladelphia Flyers3 - 6L
29 OctAPittsburgh Penguins4 - 3W
28 OctHMinnesota Wild1 - 3L
25 OctHTampa Bay Lightning5 - 4W
Head to head
27 Nov 2025Utah Utah Hockey Club3 - 4Montréal Canadiens
09 Nov 2025Montréal Canadiens6 - 2Utah Utah Hockey Club
15 Jan 2025Utah Utah Hockey Club3 - 5Montréal Canadiens
27 Nov 2024Montréal Canadiens2 - 3Utah Utah Hockey Club
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home2.0648.5%05 Nov 23:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away1.8554.1%05 Nov 23:20
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC