| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 59% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Ryan Dickerson | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1440 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1440 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Pissetti Vialle, Henrique | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Sverzut Corsini, Lorenzo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Jun | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Juan Ignacio Gallego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Mateus Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Wilson Leite | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Justin Roberts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Felipe De Dios | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |