| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 80.6% | 88% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.9% | 80.0% |
| logistic | 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Hanyu Guo | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1437 | 1801 |
| Surface Elo | 1437 | 1801 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 44 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Elina Svitolina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Katie Volynets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sorana Cirstea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Aliona Falei | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Mccartney Kessler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Hanyu Guo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Diane Parry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 1 | Sorana Cirstea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.13 | 88.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.30 | 15.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |