OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Italy Serie A · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Genoa 2.40 1 - 2 2.00 Ac Milan
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.3%54%-2.7%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 76.8%81%-4.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 67.9%74%-5.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.2%49%+4.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.1%27.6%46.3%
xgboost21.8%24.6%53.6%
logistic22.3%26.5%51.1%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaAc Milan
Elo (pre-match)16291783
Surface Elo16291783
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.00
Form trend-0.30-0.10
Season points per game2.402.00
Season goals for / game1.402.20
Season goals against / game0.801.60
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W6 W · 4 D
Genoa: last 5
01 NovALecce2 - 1W
01 NovALecce2 - 1W
28 OctHJuventus2 - 0W
28 OctHJuventus2 - 0W
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
Ac Milan: last 5
08 NovHS.S.D. Virtus Ciseranobergamo3 - 0W
05 NovHFerencvarosi Budapest0 - 2L
31 OctHInter3 - 1W
31 OctHInter3 - 1W
28 OctHBologna2 - 4L
Head to head
17 May 2026Genoa1 - 2Ac Milan
08 Jan 2026Ac Milan1 - 1Genoa
05 May 2025Genoa1 - 2Ac Milan
15 Dec 2024Ac Milan0 - 0Genoa
05 May 2024Ac Milan3 - 3Genoa
07 Oct 2023Genoa0 - 1Ac Milan
15 Apr 2022Ac Milan2 - 0Genoa
01 Dec 2021Genoa0 - 3Ac Milan
18 Apr 2021Ac Milan2 - 1Genoa
16 Dec 2020Genoa2 - 2Ac Milan
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8554.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6527.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.6421.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7656.8%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC