| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 69% | -16.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.2% | 43.7% |
| logistic | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Julia Riera | Yasmine Kabbaj | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Rebeka Masarova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Antonia Ruzic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Anna Siskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Elena Micic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Elina Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Rebeca Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Ruth Roura Llaverias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Yesypchuk, Daria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Neus Torner Sensano | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |