| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.5% | 72% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.4% | 32.4% |
| logistic | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.21 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.68 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Ioannis Xilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Benjamin Pietri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dimitris Azoidis | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |