| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.3% | 58% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Filippo Romano | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1496 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1496 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Harry Wendelken | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kenny De Schepper | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Brunclik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Jelle Sels | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Feb | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |