| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 67% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Andrea Pellegrino | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1639 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1639 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.45 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.55 |
| Rest days | 10 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | 0 - 2 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |