| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.0% | 41% | +7.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.6% | 75% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.6% | 57% | +4.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 56% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 29.6% | 27.0% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 32.6% | 31.2% |
| logistic | 35.5% | 28.2% | 36.3% |
| West Brom | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Sep | A | Derby | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Derby | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Sep | A | Norwich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Birmingham | 0 - 0 | West Brom |
| 26 Nov 2025 | West Brom | 1 - 1 | Birmingham |
| 03 Feb 2024 | West Brom | 1 - 0 | Birmingham |
| 06 Oct 2023 | Birmingham | 3 - 1 | West Brom |
| 10 Feb 2023 | Birmingham | 2 - 0 | West Brom |
| 14 Sep 2022 | West Brom | 2 - 3 | Birmingham |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Birmingham | 1 - 0 | West Brom |
| 15 Oct 2021 | West Brom | 1 - 0 | Birmingham |
| 20 Jun 2020 | West Brom | 0 - 0 | Birmingham |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Birmingham | 2 - 3 | West Brom |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.89 | 34.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.37 | 29.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.58 | 38.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.77 | 56.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |