| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.1% | 69% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.1% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 80.3% | 19.7% |
| Ioannis Xilas | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1430 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1430 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Wright, Michael | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Vuk Krstajic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Thando Longwe-Smit | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Liam Broady | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Dinko Dinev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shearer, Matthew | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |