| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.8% | 80% | -18.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.4% | 94% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 82.7% | 93% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 69% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 65.6% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| xgboost | 69.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% |
| logistic | 66.0% | 22.4% | 11.7% |
| Rennes | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1751 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1751 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Lyon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Marseille | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Olympiakos | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 12.46 | 8.0% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.35 | 13.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.42 | 70.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 15 Oct 06:15 |