OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Italy Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Cagliari 2.40 1 - 1 2.00 Juventus
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 52.5%no line✗ miss
DCDraw or away 79.5%no line✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 70.8%no linevoid
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.0%no line✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson22.5%28.0%49.5%
xgboost22.4%28.5%49.1%
logistic19.6%24.3%56.1%
Inputs the models saw
CagliariJuventus
Elo (pre-match)16721783
Surface Elo16721783
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.00
Form trend-0.300.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2221
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Cagliari: last 5
19 SepAUdinese1 - 0W
12 SepAAtalanta2 - 1W
07 SepHLecce1 - 0W
30 AugHInter0 - 1L
22 AugAParma1 - 0W
Juventus: last 5
20 SepHAtalanta2 - 0W
13 SepASassuolo2 - 3L
06 SepHAc Milan1 - 1D
29 AugHParma2 - 0W
23 AugAFrosinone1 - 0W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Cagliari1 - 0Juventus
29 Nov 2025Juventus2 - 1Cagliari
23 Feb 2025Cagliari0 - 1Juventus
06 Oct 2024Juventus1 - 1Cagliari
19 Apr 2024Cagliari2 - 2Juventus
11 Nov 2023Juventus2 - 1Cagliari
09 Apr 2022Cagliari1 - 2Juventus
21 Dec 2021Juventus2 - 0Cagliari
14 Mar 2021Cagliari1 - 3Juventus
21 Nov 2020Juventus2 - 0Cagliari
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC