OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-07
🎾 ITF M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Wednesday 07 October 2026, 08:30 UTC · finished
Federico Iannaccone 0.60 2 - 0 0.60 Lorenzo Carboni
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.4%59%-3.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov54.8%45.2%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost44.6%55.4%
logistic64.1%35.9%
Inputs the models saw
Federico IannacconeLorenzo Carboni
Elo (pre-match)14811360
Surface Elo14811360
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game1.501.00
Season goals for / game1.500.67
Season goals against / game1.501.33
Rest days94
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Federico Iannaccone: last 5
27 SepAFederico Arnaboldi1 - 2L
22 SepHLuka Mikrut0 - 2L
21 SepAMaximo Zeitune2 - 0W
21 SepHLuka Mikrut0 - 2L
31 AugHValerio Aboian0 - 2L
Lorenzo Carboni: last 5
02 OctHSander Jong0 - 2L
01 OctHJavier Barranco Cosano2 - 0W
24 SepADaniel Michalski0 - 2L
31 AugHPedro Martinez0 - 1L
10 AugADaniel Michalski0 - 2L
Head to head
09 Mar 2026Federico Iannaccone2 - 0Lorenzo Carboni
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0449.0%07 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7058.8%07 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC