| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.3% | 63% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.3% | 58.6% |
| logistic | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Aziz Dougaz | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1592 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1592 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Wissam Abderrahman | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Rahmani, Kasra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Penzlin, J | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Rahmani, Kasra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Wissam Abderrahman | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | John Echeverria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |