| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.8% | 65% | -11.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.0% | 84% | -7.2% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.8% | 84% | -15.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 60% | +0.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 26.1% | 41.1% |
| xgboost | 18.4% | 18.1% | 63.5% |
| logistic | 19.8% | 25.4% | 54.8% |
| Gateshead | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1283 | 1409 |
| Surface Elo | 1283 | 1409 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.57 | 2.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.86 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Stoke | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Aldershot | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Aldershot | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Gillingham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Apr 2019 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Barrow |
| 25 Sep 2018 | Barrow | 1 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 20 Feb 2018 | Barrow | 1 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 21 Nov 2017 | Gateshead | 1 - 2 | Barrow |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.30 | 18.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |