| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Arouca | Nacional da Madeira | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1592 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1592 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Alverca | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Alverca | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Belenenses | 3 - 3 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Estrela | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Estrela | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Sp Braga | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | AD Sanjoanense | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Rio Ave | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.15 | 24.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.72 | 26.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.84 | 54.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |