| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.1% | 49% | +0.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 80% | -3.5% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.1% | 66% | -2.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 61% | +1.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.5% | 25.3% | 30.2% |
| xgboost | 56.6% | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| logistic | 42.7% | 26.6% | 30.8% |
| Hartlepool | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1392 | 1382 |
| Surface Elo | 1392 | 1382 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Leeds | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 3 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 3 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Fylde | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Fylde | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Dover Athletic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Derby | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Solihull | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Wealdstone | 7 - 0 | Hartlepool |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Hartlepool | 1 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Hartlepool | 1 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Wealdstone | 4 - 4 | Hartlepool |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Hartlepool | 2 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Wealdstone | 2 - 7 | Hartlepool |
| 09 Jan 2021 | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |