OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ England League One · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · abandoned
Bradford 1.80 14:00 1.40 Barnsley
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.5%56%-2.0%abandoned
DCHome or draw 79.3%82%-2.6%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 72.2%74%-1.9%abandoned
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.4%49%+1.6%abandoned
BTTSBTTS no 52.2%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.5%26.2%25.3%
xgboost57.7%27.5%14.8%
logistic47.1%28.9%24.0%
Inputs the models saw
BradfordBarnsley
Elo (pre-match)15771452
Surface Elo15771452
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.40
Form trend-0.900.70
Season points per game3.001.00
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game0.001.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 2 D
Bradford: last 5
22 SepHNewcastle United U212 - 1W
19 SepALuton1 - 0W
19 SepALuton1 - 0W
12 SepANotts County1 - 0W
05 SepHMansfield1 - 0W
Barnsley: last 5
22 SepHLeeds3 - 4L
19 SepHLeicester1 - 1D
19 SepHLeicester1 - 1D
12 SepAPlymouth0 - 3L
05 SepHStevenage1 - 5L
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Barnsley2 - 2Bradford
18 Oct 2025Bradford2 - 2Barnsley
12 Jan 2019Barnsley3 - 0Bradford
11 Aug 2018Bradford0 - 2Barnsley
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.3023.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8055.6%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7457.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC