| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.0% | 78% | -5.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 20.6% | 79.4% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Zhizhen Zhang | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1827 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1827 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | J.J. Wolf | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Charles Broom | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Zachary Svajda | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Arthur Gea | 2 - 0 | Zhizhen Zhang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.88 | 25.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.95 | 25.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Arthur Gea | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.80 | 20.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.16 | 24.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.32 | 75.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.78 | 26.5% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.85 | 26.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.80 | 26.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Arthur Gea | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.80 | 20.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.20 | 23.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.22 | 82.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.22 | 82.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.80 | 26.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.23 | 81.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.85 | 26.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.85 | 26.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Arthur Gea | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Zhizhen Zhang | 3.95 | 25.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |