OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-30
🎾 ATP Challenger Ningbo, China Men Singles · Friday 30 October 2026, 04:00 UTC · finished
Mert Alkaya 0.60 0 - 2 0.60 Yu Hsiou Hsu
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.5%60%-3.0%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov49.0%51.0%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost33.2%66.8%
logistic46.4%53.6%
Inputs the models saw
Mert AlkayaYu Hsiou Hsu
Elo (pre-match)14901565
Surface Elo14901565
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.60-0.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Mert Alkaya: last 5
26 OctARigele Te2 - 0W
19 OctHAndre Ilagan1 - 2L
19 OctAAndre Ilagan1 - 2L
11 OctAMatthew Dellavedova0 - 2L
07 SepAMax Basing0 - 2L
Yu Hsiou Hsu: last 5
27 OctHKeegan Smith2 - 1W
20 OctHJie Cui0 - 2L
19 OctAJie Cui0 - 2L
07 SepAIlya Ivashka0 - 2L
31 AugAJames Trotter0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6859.5%29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%29 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC